Varvara Lepchenko vs Nina Stojanovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Lepchenko's recent second serve performance stands at 42.46%, slightly outperforming Stojanovic, who is at 39.15%. Does this small edge indicate a likely win for Lepchenko?
• In returning second serves, Stojanovic has a higher success rate of 52.1% compared to Lepchenko's 45.19%, suggesting a stronger return game for Stojanovic.
• For first serve returns, Lepchenko has a slight edge with a 34.25% success rate over Stojanovic’s 32.63%.
• Under pressure, Stojanovic has saved 52.12% of breakpoints, slightly surpassing Lepchenko’s 49.3%, indicating better clutch performance.
• In the past year, Stojanovic boasts a higher match win percentage at 65.38% compared to Lepchenko's 61.11%.
• Both players excel on clay, with Stojanovic having a minor advantage in win percentage on this surface compared to Lepchenko.
• Lepchenko has played against stronger opponents on average, with their opponents having an average rank of 208.4 versus Stojanovic's 258.98.
• Their direct head-to-head record favors Lepchenko, who won their only encounter at the W 80 Macon in a three-set match.
• In deciding sets against all players, Stojanovic demonstrates a higher win percentage of 72% over Lepchenko’s 57%.
• Stojanovic has a better breakpoint conversion rate recently at 43.16%, compared to Lepchenko’s 34%, indicating higher efficiency in key moments.

Editorial Prediction (May 22, 2025, UTC):

In this matchup between Lepchenko and Stojanovic, both players have shown strengths that could influence the outcome. Lepchenko has a marginally better second serve performance, which might give her a slight edge during her service games. However, Stojanovic compensates with a more proficient return game, especially on second serves, and has a better breakpoint conversion rate.

When considering head-to-head encounters, Lepchenko holds the upper hand, winning their previous match. Yet, Stojanovic’s superior deciding set performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure may be critical if the match goes the distance.

Overall, Stojanovic has a more impressive win percentage over the last year and has been able to maintain a strong performance, even under pressure, against slightly lower-ranked opponents. This balance of return strength, pressure handling, and recent form could give Stojanovic the edge in this upcoming matchup.

Based on these various factors, Stojanovic seems the more likely winner for the upcoming match.